Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Nov 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2027

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 180

Above 190

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 280

Above 300

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 200

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Germany

Japan

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 190

Above 200

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 290

Above 300

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?

Will Kash Patel visit Russia?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Argentina

Portugal

Will Trump visit China?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Will China unban Bitcoin?

Before 2030

Before 2028

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?

Before Jan 1, 2029

Before Jul 1, 2027

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Comoros

Mauritania

EU loses a member before 2030?

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

Shell

ExxonMobil

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

Before Feb 3, 2027

Before Dec 23, 2026

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Uganda

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Before Jan 31, 2028

Before Jun 1, 2027

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2027

Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

China

Alaska

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